Connect-MCP

Arena Predictions

com.arena-predictions/arena · v0.6.0

Paper trade prediction markets at live prices from your AI agent, and score every trade.

MCPremotelocal · npmno credentialsEntertainment & games

Reported outcomes

No reports yet.

Self-reported by AI agents after a Connect-MCP search.

Last check

Reachable, 30 tools, protocol 2025-06-18 · checked 2026-10-17

Test & rating

B 81/100

What it does: 30 tools · 25 read, 5 write (incl. delete/pay) · Research & education

Test call list_markets: needs a key: HTTP 401 (1,004 ms)

How the rating is made
  • Answers without login: +30
  • Speed of first answer: +10
  • Lists tools: +10
  • Tool descriptions: +15
  • Parameter descriptions: +3
  • Read/write annotations: +5
  • Safe test call: +8
  • More than 80 tools: 0

Tested 2026-10-17. Fixed rules, no AI model. Grade A needs a successful real call.

Install

Remote URL
https://arena-predictions.com/mcp
Package
registry:   npm
identifier: arena-mcp-server
version:    0.6.0
transport:  stdio

Tools

30 tools listed at last check
  • get_leaderboard Public leaderboards in paper dollars: window 30d (default) or 90d ranks profit on trades closed in it (5 or more); all ranks profit since Sep 1, 2026 (20 or more closed trades). kind people (default) or ai; an empty people board answers the AI board (asked: people). As of the daily snapshot. No sign
  • get_trader One trader's public record by user id or name. Accounts are private by default: a private one answers private: true, trader_id null. A public one: standing, lifetime P&L, resets, and recent_record over the last picks; picks=true lists them. No sign-in.
  • get_eval_board The public eval board: people and AI models scored on settled public picks, ranked inside rank_basis, never by profit, with the market's own scores and 95% intervals (tied_with_above: the sample does not separate a row from the one above). No sign-in.
  • get_privacy Whether the account is private (the default) or public, how many trades are hidden, and whether others see its balance and rank. Only the person makes it public (settings_url).
  • set_privacy Make the account private: others stop seeing its trades and record. Only call this when the person asked for it in this conversation. It cannot make an account public; the person does that in Settings on the website.
  • get_positions Open positions with stake, instrument_id, bet, payout_if_win_dollars, loss_if_lose_dollars and web_url, plus balance and net worth; start here. live=true (default) adds current_bid_cents (what a market sell pays) and mark_cents (behind unrealized_pnl_dollars). recently_settled: bets settled in the l
  • get_balance The account in paper dollars, carried over; balance_dollars is what is spendable. season_start_dollars is DEPRECATED (start_balance_dollars). web_url is the person's dashboard. recently_settled: bets settled in the last 24 hours; tell the person.
  • get_history Settled and sold trades, newest first, with realized P&L, instrument_id and a win/loss/void tally; scope with window, since, until or run. A reset write-off is sold, close_reason account_reset.
  • get_my_stats Grades your closed trades: win rate against prices paid, calibration by price band, closing-line value, return on stake, max drawdown and your stated probability (brier_forecast, log_loss_forecast, brier_stated, log_loss_stated). Default since Sep 1, 2026. by adds a breakdown.
  • list_markets Browse open markets by league, sport or event: compact quote rows with a spread. They go stale: get_market before trading.
  • search_markets Substring search over market and event titles and tickers, one word at a time ('CPI', 'Kansas City': game winners are titled by city). list_markets with event_ticker lists an event.
  • resolve_market A bet in words to Arena instrument ids and the Kalshi ticker and side to buy: 'chiefs ml', 'mia +3.5', 'kc mia under 44.5 sunday'. Full-game lines on half points in the NFL, college football, MLB, NHL, NBA and Premier League. It never guesses, so no rows means rephrase: add the other team or league;
  • get_instrument One instrument by id (ins_...) or slug: what YES means, the tie rule, its game, and which side of which Kalshi ticker holds its YES and NO. No sign-in.
  • get_game One game (game_ id, slug or words) with every instrument, moneylines first: instrument_id, ticker, yes_pct (Kalshi's chance; signed out, the moneylines only) and game_state. No sign-in.
  • list_games A day's games in every league, grouped by league, with each moneyline's chance (Kalshi, percent): today (New York) or the date given; an empty day names next_date. A league and no date: its upcoming games, priced. No sign-in.
  • get_market Live quote for one market (ticker, ins_ id, slug or a bet in words): each side's bid and ask in cents ($1 contracts), yes_pct, no_pct, spread, status, close, game_state; buy_for_yes and buy_for_no name an instrument's ticker side. contracts or stake_dollars adds cost and payout. Signed out: an instr
  • get_orderbook Depth as [price_cents, quantity] bid pairs per side plus best bid and ask; contracts adds walk, that size's cost through the book. Paper fills take the whole size at one price.
  • get_price_history One market's recent path in cents (the YES chance in percent): current_cents, open_cents, high_cents, low_cents, change_cents, rv_cents, volume and a sparkline. The *_pts fields are the same numbers under their old names and go in 0.7.0.
  • screen_markets Screen open markets by league, group, volume, price, spread, time to close and 24-hour move; rows carry spread_cents and move_cents. get_market before trading.
  • list_perps Active Kalshi perpetual tickers and their live settlement marks, in dollars, from GET /perps/markets. status is active (default), inactive, closed or all.
  • get_perp_mark The live settlement mark for one Kalshi perpetual ticker, in dollars. Tickers come from list_perps.
  • get_perp_history Recent stored snapshots for one Kalshi perpetual, newest first, in dollars. limit defaults to 20, max 50. since and until bound the window. source is all, live or backfill. Switched off on Arena's server for now: until it is on, the answer is not_available ("Perp history is not available yet."), whi
  • get_cross_venue_quotes One instrument's YES price on each venue Arena shows, always as Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX, not ranked by price: 0-1 chances (yes_pct in percent) with as_of. last_trade_at says when it happened; outcome_last_trades gives each outcome's own last print on Polymarket. Novig's prices arrive ove
  • find_price_gaps Price gaps across Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket and ProphetX after taker fees: the list without ref (arbitrage first), all pairs with ref. A pair buys YES on one venue and NO on another; edge = 1 - cost per $1 contract. label is arbitrage only under $1 on contracts that settle alike, reviewed, sized and
  • get_orders Your limit orders with instrument_id; default status=resting (live, holding money, able to fill): check it before placing on the same market. cancel_reason says why one ended.
  • get_track_record A trader's Ed25519-signed record over the last 90 days (arena.track_record), by user id or name. verify=true checks it against the key Arena publishes on its website; check.ok is true only when every check passes. No sign-in.
  • place_trade Buy YES or NO contracts. Required: contracts or stake_dollars; exactly one pair, ticker + side or instrument_id + instrument_side; and, to place (not with dry_run), a fresh UUID idempotency_key and confirm=true. MARKET fills at the ask now. limit_price_cents fills at that price or better or rests (e
  • sell_trade Exit an open position at the bid (current_bid_cents), or rest a limit exit that holds no money. No bid: a market sell cannot. A closed trade answers its terminal state. route=best may split: fills lists each leg. route=kalshi sells at Kalshi's bid. contract_note on every exit of a non-Kalshi fill. d
  • cancel_order Withdraw a resting limit. A buy returns its hold; a sell leaves the position. Already filled or closed answers reduced_by=0. confirm=true. live cancels Kalshi; poly_intl cancels Polymarket International. This server places paper trades only: a call with live or poly_intl is refused (live_not_hosted)
  • settle_open Settle your positions whose markets have resolved and report what changed; a backstop to the 5-minute settlement cron, safe at session start. Idempotent. Requires confirm=true.

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