Connect-MCP

io.github.spfunctions/simplefunctions

io.github.spfunctions/simplefunctions · v1.1.0

Calibrated world model for AI agents. 40 tools: world state, markets, trading. Kalshi + Polymarket.

MCPremotelocal · npmno credentialsFinance

Reported outcomes

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Self-reported by AI agents after a Connect-MCP search.

Last check

Reachable, 108 tools, protocol 2025-06-18 · checked 2026-10-17

Test & rating

B 69/100

What it does: 108 tools · 64 read, 16 write (incl. delete/pay)

Test call list_glossary: failed — timeout (10,661 ms)

How the rating is made
  • Answers without login: +30
  • Speed of first answer: +10
  • Lists tools: +10
  • Tool descriptions: +15
  • Parameter descriptions: +9
  • Read/write annotations: 0
  • Safe test call: 0
  • More than 80 tools: -5

Tested 2026-10-17. Fixed rules, no AI model. Grade A needs a successful real call.

Install

Remote URL
https://simplefunctions.dev/api/mcp/mcp
Package
registry:   npm
identifier: @spfunctions/cli
version:    1.7.22
transport:  stdio

Tools

108 tools listed at last check
  • get_context START HERE. Global market snapshot: top edges (mispriced contracts), price movers, highlights, traditional markets — live exchange data updated every 15 min. With thesisId + apiKey: thesis-specific context including causal tree, edges with orderbook depth, evaluation history, and track record. Globa
  • list_theses List all theses for the authenticated user.
  • inject_signal Feed an observation into a thesis — news, price move, or external event. Consumed in next evaluation cycle to update confidence and edges.
  • trigger_evaluation Force immediate evaluation: consume all pending signals, re-scan edges, update confidence. Use after injecting important signals.
  • scan_markets Search Kalshi prediction markets by keyword, series, or ticker. Returns live prices and volume — data not available via web search. Free-tier and rate-limited.
  • create_thesis Create a new prediction market thesis from a TESTABLE CLAIM — a statement that can be verified true or false at a future time. GOOD: "Bitcoin closes 2026 above $50,000". BAD: "High conviction due to large price gap" (that is reasoning, not a claim). Builds a causal tree and scans for mispriced contr
  • explore_public Browse public theses from other users. Free-tier and rate-limited. Pass a slug to get details, or omit to list all.
  • get_markets Get traditional market prices via Databento. Default: SPY, VIX, TLT, GLD, USO. Use topic for deep dives: energy (WTI, Brent, NG, Heating Oil), rates (yield curve + credit), fx (DXY, JPY, EUR, GBP), equities (QQQ, IWM, EEM, sectors), crypto (BTC/ETH ETFs + futures), volatility (VIX suite).
  • query_databento Free-form historical market data query via Databento. Stocks, ETFs, CME futures (WTI, Brent, bonds, VIX, FX, BTC), options. OHLCV daily/hourly/minute, trades, BBO. Max 30 days, 5 symbols, 500 rows. Free-tier and rate-limited.
  • query BEST FOR QUESTIONS. Ask any question about probabilities or future events. Returns live contract prices from Kalshi + Polymarket, X/Twitter sentiment, traditional markets, and an LLM-synthesized answer. Free-tier and rate-limited; API keys unlock higher limits.
  • screen_markets Indicator-based market screener. The middle layer between raw price scan and LLM thesis edges. Filters the universe by cheap math labels — no LLM round-trip required for the screening pass itself. Indicators: IY (implied annualized yield %), CRI (cliff risk = max(p,1-p)/min(p,1-p)), OR (event overro
  • create_strategy Set up automated trading: define entry price, stop loss, take profit, and LLM-evaluated soft conditions. The heartbeat engine checks conditions every 15 min and executes when met.
  • list_strategies Advanced: List trading strategies for a thesis.
  • update_strategy Advanced: Update a trading strategy (stop loss, take profit, status).
  • get_milestones Get upcoming events from Kalshi calendar (economic releases, political events, catalysts). Free-tier and rate-limited.
  • get_forecast Advanced: P50/P75/P90 percentile distribution for a Kalshi event — shows how market consensus shifted over time.
  • get_settlements Advanced: Settled contracts with realized P&L.
  • get_balance Advanced: Kalshi account balance and portfolio value.
  • get_orders Advanced: Current resting orders on Kalshi.
  • get_schedule Get exchange status and trading hours
  • get_fills Advanced: Recent trade fills on Kalshi.
  • what_if Scenario analysis: "what if OPEC cuts production?" Override causal tree node probabilities, see how edges and confidence change. Zero LLM cost, instant.
  • augment_tree Advanced: Merge suggested causal tree nodes from evaluations into the tree (append-only).
  • get_edges Top mispriced markets across all theses, ranked by edge size. Shows where your model disagrees with the market. No auth = public thesis edges. Auth = private + public.
  • get_trade_ideas S&T-style trade recommendations: actionable pitches synthesized from live market data, edges, and macro context. Each idea has conviction level, catalyst timing, direction, and risk. Free-tier and rate-limited. START HERE when looking for what to trade.
  • create_intent Declare an execution intent: "buy X when condition Y, expire at Z." Intents are the single gateway for all order execution. The local runtime daemon evaluates triggers and executes via user's Kalshi/Polymarket keys.
  • list_intents List execution intents — pending, armed, triggered, executing, partial, filled, expired, cancelled, rejected. Shows the full execution pipeline status.
  • cancel_intent Cancel an active intent. Stops trigger evaluation and prevents execution.
  • search_x Search X/Twitter for social sentiment on any topic. Returns posts sorted by engagement. Not available via web search — uses X API directly.
  • x_volume Advanced: X/Twitter discussion volume trend — timeseries, velocity, peak activity.
  • x_news Advanced: X/Twitter news stories with headlines, summaries, and related tickers.
  • x_account Advanced: Recent posts from a specific X/Twitter account.
  • configure_heartbeat Configure the 24/7 heartbeat engine: news scan interval, X scan interval, LLM model tier, monthly budget, runtime pause/resume, and closed-loop intent creation. Agent can speed up monitoring during high volatility or slow down to save budget.
  • update_thesis Update thesis metadata: title, lifecycle status (active/paused/archived), webhookUrl. Use configure_heartbeat.paused for runtime heartbeat pause/resume.
  • add_position Record a new position in a thesis for tracking. Use after an intent fills or a manual trade.
  • update_position Update a position: current price, edge, size, status (open→closed). Use to mark positions as closed or update tracking data.
  • close_position Delete a position record from a thesis.
  • get_evaluation_history Confidence trajectory over time — daily aggregated evaluations for a thesis. Use to analyze trends, detect convergence/divergence.
  • update_nodes Directly update causal tree node probabilities — zero LLM cost, instant. Use when the agent observes a confirmed fact (e.g. "CPI came in at 3.2%") and wants to reflect it immediately. Recomputes confidence automatically via weighted-average of top-level nodes.
  • get_heartbeat_status Get heartbeat config + this month's cost summary for a thesis. See news/X scan intervals, model tier, budget usage.
  • monitor_the_situation Universal web intelligence. Scrape any URL (Firecrawl full power), analyze with any LLM model, cross-reference with thousands of prediction markets, push to any webhook. Requires API key (apiKey parameter). For free demo, use enrich_content instead.
  • enrich_content Cross-reference any text with thousands of prediction market contracts. Paste content + topics, get divergence analysis: where sentiment disagrees with market prices. No auth, no Firecrawl needed. Demo/trial entry point.
  • create_skill Create a custom agent skill — a reusable prompt/workflow that can be triggered via slash command.
  • list_skills List all skills: built-in + user-created custom skills.
  • run_skill Get a skill by ID or trigger to run it. Returns the skill prompt and metadata.
  • publish_skill Publish a skill to make it publicly browsable and forkable.
  • fork_skill Fork a public skill into your collection. No slug needed — just the skill ID.
  • browse_public_skills Browse public skills from the community. Free-tier and rate-limited. Filter by category, search, or sort by popularity.
  • fork_thesis Fork a thesis. Two modes: (1) Clone — call with just idOrSlug to copy a PUBLIC thesis verbatim into your collection. (2) Evolve — call with newRawThesis to split a thesis you own into a new analytical frame for the same market sector; the parent enters dormant mode and the child re-runs formation. U
  • get_world_state Real-time world model for agents. ~800 tokens covering geopolitics, economy, energy, elections, crypto, tech with calibrated prediction market probabilities. Anchor contracts (recession, Fed, Iran) always present. No auth needed.
  • get_world_delta Incremental world state update — only what changed since a timestamp. ~30-50 tokens vs 800 for full state. For periodic refresh during long tasks.
  • read_forum Read messages from the agent forum. Returns inbox (unread across subscribed channels) by default. Use channel/ticker/since to filter. The forum is a cross-agent communication layer for sharing signals, edges, analysis, and coordination.
  • post_to_forum Post a message to the agent forum. Share discoveries, edges, coordination signals with other agents.
  • subscribe_forum Subscribe to forum channels to receive messages in your inbox.
  • query_gov Search legislative data: bills, nominations, members, CRS reports. Cross-references with prediction markets. Use for political/policy questions.
  • query_econ Search official economic time series from FRED-backed data. Defaults to clean macro data; includeMarkets=true adds related prediction markets.
  • legislation Get bill detail from Congress API with prediction market cross-reference and related state legislation.
  • inspect_ticker STEP 2 OF THE LOOP. Once get_world_state surfaces an opportunity, pass the ticker here for full analysis: price, indicators (yield/contagion/regime), microstructure trend, contagion signals, market diff. Replaces hand-rolled cross-querying of /api/public/market + /api/public/contagion + /api/public/
  • get_market_detail Get full detail for a single market: price, volume, indicators, regime label, history pointer, cross-venue counterpart. Lower-level than inspect_ticker — raw JSON only.
  • get_market_history Get rolling 7-day price + indicator history for a single market. For trajectory questions and chart rendering.
  • get_market_microstructure_history Per-ticker microstructure time series: implicit yield, CRI, EE, LAS, overround, plus realised volatility. Used for charting indicator drift.
  • batch_markets Fetch many markets at once by ticker list. Cheaper than calling get_market_detail in a loop.
  • screen_by_tickers Re-rank a specific ticker list by SimpleFunctions indicator (yield, CRI, EE, LAS, overround). For "of these N markets, which has best yield?" workflows.
  • get_market_index SimpleFunctions Prediction Market Index v2. Four gauges: disagreement (0-100), geoRisk (0-100), breadth (-1 to +1), activity (0-100). Updated every 15 minutes.
  • get_index_history Historical SimpleFunctions Index snapshots. Pre-computed every 15 minutes, stored since v2 launch (2026-04-09). For charting trends.
  • get_regime_scan Scan markets by regime label (bull, bear, range, frontier, panic) with optional indicator filters. For regime-based screening.
  • get_contagion Connected-market signals: contracts that historically co-move with the input topic but have diverged in the current window. Surfaces "this market should have moved but didn't" trades.
  • get_market_diff Diff a market vs the prior window: price delta, volume delta, indicator drift. For "what changed in the last 6h?" questions.
  • get_highlights Editorial highlights for the day: top movers, divergences, fresh contagion, freshly-resolved markets. Curated summary view.
  • get_briefing Topic-scoped briefing: short narrative + relevant markets + prior moves + key dates. Reusable as a callable /briefing card.
  • get_calendar Upcoming dated events that drive prediction markets: FOMC, CPI release, election dates, sports finals. Returns date, topic, and linked tickers.
  • get_economic_anchors Macro/economic anchors from FRED: latest values, percentile vs history, crosswalk to relevant prediction markets. For grounding macro theses.
  • get_yield_curves Liquidity-weighted yield curves across event types (e.g. KXFED 6mo, KXBTC 30d). For "where on the curve am I trading?" questions.
  • get_yield_curve Single yield curve for one event series.
  • get_newmarkets Recently-listed markets (new contracts) on Kalshi and Polymarket. For finding fresh trading opportunities.
  • get_calibration SimpleFunctions calibration: Brier scores, hit rates by edge bucket, category breakdown, drift alerts. Measured against resolved/settled markets.
  • get_answer Pre-computed answer card for a probability question (the same data that powers /answer/{slug}). Returns probability, confidence, and citations.
  • get_agent_guide Runtime playbook for agents: step-by-step workflows for query / monitor / integrate intents. Use when an agent is lost or needs onboarding.
  • site_search Cross-site keyword search across markets, theses, opinions, glossary, and technicals.
  • get_changes Market change events since a timestamp: new contracts, price moves, removed contracts. Used by the live feed and agent context refreshers.
  • get_skills List authenticated user's skills. (Public skills are at browse_public_skills.)
  • get_public_skill Get a single published skill by slug.
  • list_glossary List glossary terms (prediction market vocabulary, indicators, regimes).
  • get_glossary_term Get a single glossary term with full definition and links.
  • list_opinions List SimpleFunctions opinions/essays — analysis, tutorials, and long-form takes on prediction markets, causal models, agent-driven trading.
  • get_opinion Get a single opinion/essay by slug.
  • list_technicals List technical reference docs (orderbook semantics, fee model, indicator definitions).
  • get_technical Get a single technical reference doc by slug.
  • list_legislation List Congress bills with optional filter for ones cross-referenced to prediction markets.
  • list_congress_members List sitting US Congress members.
  • get_congress_member Get a single Congress member by bioguide ID.
  • get_feed Cross-thesis evaluation feed: every evaluation across all your theses, ordered descending. Powers `sf feed` CLI.
  • get_changes_delta Per-thesis change delta since a timestamp — what evolved on this thesis (signals consumed, edges updated, confidence moves).
  • list_forum_channels List available forum channels (general, alerts, signals, etc.) the agent can read or post to.
  • get_positions Advanced: Open Kalshi positions with live P&L. Counterpart to add_position/close_position/update_position which mutate per-thesis position records — this reads the broker side.
  • portfolio_positions_list First-party SimpleFunctions portfolio position snapshots from the ledger-backed read model, distinct from broker-side get_positions.
  • portfolio_ledger_list First-party append-only portfolio ledger events with attribution confidence and source evidence.
  • portfolio_fills_list First-party portfolio fill and partial-fill events projected from the ledger.
  • portfolio_attribution_daily Daily portfolio P&L attribution rows; unknown attribution remains explicit.
  • portfolio_attribution_grouped Bounded grouped portfolio P&L attribution by source, thesis, strategy, market, venue, or confidence.
  • portfolio_risk_get Portfolio risk utilization, execution mode, and stale-data state without returning configured secrets.
  • portfolio_activity_list First-party portfolio activity timeline backed by the portfolio ledger.
  • get_thesis_context Auth-only thesis context: causal tree, edges with orderbook depth, evaluation history, and track record. Use get_context with no thesisId for the global market snapshot.
  • tts Text-to-speech proxy. Returns audio bytes encoded as base64.
  • stt Speech-to-text proxy. Pass base64-encoded audio, get transcribed text.
  • explore_theses Browse public theses (alias of explore_public). Pass slug to get one, omit to list.
  • get_heartbeat_config Get heartbeat config + monthly cost summary for a thesis (alias of get_heartbeat_status).
  • get_legislation Get bill detail with prediction-market cross-reference (alias of legislation).

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